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I need to make a proper sales forecast for the first time can someone help ?


I need to make a proper sales forecast for the first time can someone help ?

The easiest way to do this is look at your past sales data (as much as you have) and assume a linear trend. You can determine what value the coefficents of the linear model are by minimising the sum of squared residuals (there;s an excel command to do this). Once you have intercept and B you plug in today's sales value for yesterdays and estimate tomorrows sales.

Model: salestoday = intercept + B*salesyesterday + error

This is like saying if sales have increased at an average rate of 2% a month for the past 36 months then my best guess of sales next month is 2% higher than sales this month.

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